{"id":3654,"date":"2025-10-16T17:24:58","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T17:24:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/?p=3654"},"modified":"2025-10-16T17:27:48","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T17:27:48","slug":"blog-economia-bitcoin-elliott-wave-analysis-october-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/economia\/blog-economia-bitcoin-elliott-wave-analysis-october-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud83e\ude99 Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025 | Primary Wave 5 Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025:  <strong>Date:<\/strong> Oct 16 2025 | <strong>Exchange:<\/strong> Binance (BTC\/USDT) | <strong>Timeframe:<\/strong> 1 h \/ 2 d \/ 1 w<br><strong>Price:<\/strong> $108 121 (10:27 a.m. NY) | <strong>All-Time High:<\/strong> $126 199 (Oct 4)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u26a1 TL;DR<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bias:<\/strong> Neutral \u2192 Bearish unless price reclaims &gt; $112 000<br><strong>Scenarios:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Scenario A:<\/strong> Short-term bounce \u2192 diagonal extension \u2192 marginal new ATH.<\/li><li><strong>Scenario B:<\/strong> Break &lt; $99 600 \u2192 Primary (5) confirmed top \u2192 multi-month correction.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Levels<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th>Zone<\/th><th>Level<\/th><th>Comment<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Resistance<\/td><td>110 000 \u2013 112 000<\/td><td>Former support \/ EMA ceiling<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fib 38.2% (4 vs 2)<\/td><td>109 242<\/td><td>Current pivot zone<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fib 61.8% (4 vs 2)<\/td><td>99 684<\/td><td>Critical support<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Equality (4 = 2)<\/td><td>85 952<\/td><td>Invalidates contracting form<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>All-time high<\/td><td>126 199<\/td><td>Potential terminal (5) top<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcc8 <strong>Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis \u2013 1 Hour EMA Outlook<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin just <strong>lost the $110 000 support<\/strong>, confirming short-term bearish momentum.<br>This 1-hour chart applies the <strong>Wavy Tunnel EMA system<\/strong> \u2014 a key part of this Elliott Wave analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"489\" src=\"http:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1-hr-chart-1024x489.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025 \u2013 1 hour EMA breakdown\" class=\"wp-image-3657\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1-hr-chart-1024x489.png 1024w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1-hr-chart-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1-hr-chart-768x366.png 768w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1-hr-chart-1536x733.png 1536w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1-hr-chart-850x406.png 850w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1-hr-chart.png 1637w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Wavy Tunnel EMA system showing bearish break below 110 k support.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th>EMA<\/th><th>Value<\/th><th>Slope<\/th><th>Comment<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>8 EMA (green)<\/td><td>\u2248 109 957<\/td><td>strongly down<\/td><td>below all 34 EMAs<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>34 high\/low EMAs (red)<\/td><td>\u2248 111 637 \/ 110 881<\/td><td>turning down<\/td><td>bearish ribbon formed<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>144 EMA (light blue)<\/td><td>\u2248 113 486<\/td><td>slightly positive<\/td><td>tunnel floor now broken<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>169 EMA (dark blue)<\/td><td>\u2248 113 938<\/td><td>flattening<\/td><td>resistance on rallies<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The short-term structure has flipped fully bearish.<br>Price is now trading <strong>below the 144\/169 EMA tunnel<\/strong>, with the 8 EMA crossing under the 34s \u2014 a textbook downside acceleration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DMI (14):<\/strong> \u2212DI = 34.7, +DI = 8.6, ADX \u2248 32 \u2192 confirmed trend strength.<br>Volume spikes during the break add credibility to the selloff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u27a1 <strong>Interpretation:<\/strong> A temporary bounce to 110 \u2013 111 k could retest resistance, but a close &lt; 107 800 would open 104 \u2013 102 k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udf00 <strong>Long-Term Elliott Wave Market Structure<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udded <strong>Primary Degree Impulse (Weekly Chart)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>From the <strong>Nov 2022 low @ $15 476<\/strong>, Bitcoin has advanced in a five-wave Primary Degree impulse.<br>The <strong>Primary 2\u20134 channel (red)<\/strong> has now been <strong>decisively broken<\/strong>, signaling a <strong>terminal fifth wave<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two possible paths now:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Bullish Extension:<\/strong><br>\u2003Primary (5) is still extending upward as a contracting ending diagonal.<br>\u2003A marginal new ATH above $126 200 would confirm this and complete the pattern.<\/li><li><strong>Bearish Completion:<\/strong><br>\u2003Primary (5) ended at the Oct 4 ATH.<br>\u2003Break &lt; $99 600 would confirm a top and begin a longer-term correction toward 85 \u2013 75 k.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"459\" src=\"http:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1024-AM-1-week-1024x459.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025 \u2013 Primary wave 5 channel breakout\" class=\"wp-image-3658\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1024-AM-1-week-1024x459.png 1024w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1024-AM-1-week-300x135.png 300w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1024-AM-1-week-768x344.png 768w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1024-AM-1-week-850x381.png 850w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1024-AM-1-week.png 1530w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Primary degree 2\u20134 channel break indicating terminal wave (5) condition.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udde9 <strong>Intermediate Degree Structure (2-Day Chart)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>(1)<\/strong> = $109 588 (Jan 19)<\/li><li><strong>(2)<\/strong> = $74 508 (Apr 6)<\/li><li><strong>(3)<\/strong> = $126 199 (Oct 4)<\/li><li><strong>(4)<\/strong> = $102 000 (Oct 9)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Wave (4) retraced ~50% of (2) in price \u2014 smaller in both price and time, consistent with a <strong>contracting diagonal<\/strong>.<br>The <strong>Fibonacci zone between 38.2 % (109 242)<\/strong> and <strong>61.8 % (99 684)<\/strong> defines the structural range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"459\" src=\"http:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1100-AM-2-day-1024x459.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025 \u2013 Intermediate wave 4 Fibonacci proportions\" class=\"wp-image-3659\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1100-AM-2-day-1024x459.png 1024w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1100-AM-2-day-300x135.png 300w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1100-AM-2-day-768x344.png 768w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1100-AM-2-day-850x381.png 850w, https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT-Untitled-Oct-16-1100-AM-2-day.png 1530w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Intermediate degree wave (4) versus (2) proportions with Fib retracement zones.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u2696\ufe0f <strong>Wave Proportions and Momentum<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th>Metric<\/th><th>Reading<\/th><th>Interpretation<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>4 vs 2 price ratio<\/td><td>~61.8 %<\/td><td>ideal contraction<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ADX (weekly)<\/td><td>\u2248 22<\/td><td>trend maturity<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>+DI \/ \u2212DI<\/td><td>flat \/ rising<\/td><td>early bearish shift<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Momentum is fading, typical near terminal diagonals or major cycle tops.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udde0 <strong>Interpretation<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>Bitcoin\u2019s Primary Degree impulse from the $15 476 2022 low is nearing completion. The Oct 4 all-time high at $126 199 may have marked Intermediate (3), with (4) completing near $102 000.<\/p><p>Holding above $99 600 keeps the diagonal alive and allows for one more high toward $128 \u2013 132 k.<br>A break below that level confirms Primary (5) has topped, starting a longer corrective phase that could last months.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udded <strong>Summary<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th>Scenario<\/th><th>Trigger<\/th><th>Target<\/th><th>Implication<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>Bullish Extension<\/strong><\/td><td>Close &gt; 115 000<\/td><td>128 000 \u2013 132 000<\/td><td>Final diagonal spike<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Bearish Reversal<\/strong><\/td><td>Close &lt; 99 600<\/td><td>85 000 \u2192 75 000<\/td><td>Primary (5) top confirmed<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Neutral Range<\/strong><\/td><td>100 000 \u2013 112 000<\/td><td>Sideways<\/td><td>Transition zone<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 <strong>Resumen en Espa\u00f1ol<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin perdi\u00f3 el soporte de $110 000 y el sesgo inmediato es bajista. Sin embargo, la estructura de largo plazo bajo el <strong>An\u00e1lisis Elliott Wave de Bitcoin Octubre 2025<\/strong> muestra que la onda 5 Primaria a\u00fan podr\u00eda extenderse si el precio recupera $112 000 \u2013 $115 000.<br>Una ca\u00edda por debajo de $99 600 confirmar\u00eda un techo de ciclo y abrir\u00eda el camino a una correcci\u00f3n hacia $85 000 \u2013 $75 000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Niveles clave:<\/strong> 112 000 \/ 109 000 \/ 99 600 \/ 85 000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udd17 <strong>Internal &amp; Outbound Links<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a>Qu\u00e9 es Bitcoin | EWFOREX Blog<\/a><\/li><li><a>Bitcoin alcanza nuevo m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico | An\u00e1lisis previo<\/a><\/li><li><a>CoinMarketCap Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025: Date: Oct 16 2025 | Exchange: Binance (BTC\/USDT) | Timeframe: 1 h \/ 2 d \/ 1 wPrice: $108 121 (10:27 a.m. NY) | All-Time High: $126 199 (Oct 4) \u26a1 TL;DR Bias: Neutral \u2192 Bearish unless price reclaims &gt; $112 000Scenarios: Scenario A: Short-term bounce \u2192 diagonal extension [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3628,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v14.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025 | Primary Wave 5 Outlook<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025 shows a potential Primary wave 5 completion or extension as BTC loses $110 000 support.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/economia\/blog-economia-bitcoin-elliott-wave-analysis-october-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025 | Primary Wave 5 Outlook\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis October 2025 shows a potential Primary wave 5 completion or extension as BTC loses $110 000 support.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"http:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/economia\/blog-economia-bitcoin-elliott-wave-analysis-october-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Casa de cambios | ewforex.net\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-10-16T17:24:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-16T17:27:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BitcoinImage01.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1253\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"707\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/#organization\",\"name\":\"casa de cambios\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/\",\"sameAs\":[],\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/#logo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/cropped-logo-1.png\",\"width\":218,\"height\":44,\"caption\":\"casa de cambios\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/#logo\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/ewforex.net\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Casa de cambios | ewforex.net\",\"description\":\"Casa de Cambios Online En lima Per\\u00fa, Miraflores, Compra y Venta de Dolares, Cambio de Divisas al Mejor Precio. 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